I think Albo will be popular come 2025 but Joshs failure to change mental health policy will be damaging in such a progressive seat such as Macnamara. Labor will be desperate to hang on to its own newly-acquired seats, and presumably also very keen to protect and help the Independents as well. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. If all the remaining votes, using Kevin Bonhams expectation of 1750 postal votes, break exactly as they currently are, I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount. I disagree with you Nimalan, its worth noting Labor still had a 7% swing against them and the Greens got a 4% increase in primary votes in one of the most gentrified areas of the Macnamara electorate (Port Melbourne). But the symbolism is incredibly important, with all the talk both before and after the election about the prospect of minority government and the low major party combined primary vote. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel allowance, City Clerk Kevin McKeown said. City Hall topics in recent months have included proposed downtown mixed-use developments, ongoing development in the city's Eau Gallie area and lack of affordable housing, among other issues. McCathie was born and bred in Melbourne and has a background in I.T. Question now is what becomes of the boundaries at the next election. Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. Bandt increased his primary vote further to 42.6% in 2013, allowing him to overcome the decision of the Liberal Party to reverse past preference recommendations and put Labor ahead of the Greens. Results ranged from 56.9% at Library at the Dock in Docklands to 87.4% at the Sacred Heart School in Fitzroy. The electorate, formerly working class, was much more demographically diverse on its final boundaries, with rapidly accelerating inner-city gentrification and high-density housing developments in later years. Harkin moved into IT, in business development and project management and then started her own small business developing bespoke databases and digital widgets. Please note that ballot preparation procedures vary by state and between jurisdictions within states. Mauger was re-elected in 1903 but in 1906 moved to the new seat of Maribyrnong, which he held until his defeat in 1910. . Liberal 33.67% (31,327) 2. It is Brevard County's fourth-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay, Melbourne and Titusville. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. It will make a massive difference in how the Albanese government is seen. Holloway was secretary of the Melbourne Trades Hall Council, who had stood against Bruce in protest at the government's arbitration policies. Road improvements and joint cooperation with the state of Florida, Melbourne Airport and Brevard County to widen Ellis Road. Should the Greens get up here, I can see all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield tail mysteriously evaporate before the 2024 redistribution. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may not be . On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. Basically all that has to happen for the Greens to currently win, is that the votes need to keep breaking exactly as they are, and there needs to be at least 800 more postal votes received. Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. Another phenomenal result for the Greens. I am not saying the results will be repeated in 2025 for Josh Burns a Dutton led Liberal party will underperform the state Libs which moved back to the centre on climate. Occupation: Full-time West Melbourne City Council member; previous mortgage underwriter for Chase Bank for nineyears; previous title agent for more than 20 years; previous finance manager for several auto dealerships. Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. Also the issue for Josh Burns is that most of the population growth is occurring in the west of the seat such as Southbank/Fishermens Bend. Green was also very careful about Brisbane, which shows just how close some of these races have been. Thats four years out, City Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water plant also have been procured. I can see the Greens overtaking Labor. It is named for the fact that, at the time of its creation, it was centred on Port Melbourne and Williamstown, both major ports. Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Level 5, 530 Collins Street, Melbourne 3000. In 3CP terms, it means Dec Prepolls are breaking 33.1% LIB, 30.6% ALP, 36.3% GRN. There are 4,658 envelopes waiting to processed, only 200 of them are postals, they are late arriving postals which I guess will favour Greens or break even. Where possible, the natural flow and filtering of runoff must be restored. Originally, it was anchored in the industrial suburbs in the west of the electorate, which are part of Labor's heartland in west Melbourne. Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. I think there are enough Right Wing Micro Party Party votes to push Libs ahead into first. Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. He represented workers and their unions while a partner at Slater and Gordon, holding a position with the firm previously held by Julia Gillard. This made Adam Bandt the first Green to win a seat in the House of Representatives at a general election. Twitter: @RickNeale1. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the. East of Hotham, the Glen Eira part of St Kilda East is totally different and more similar to Caulfield North. Votante, re: Labor possibly having a record difference between their primary vote and 2PP vote, I think that ties into another likely record that this race will set, and thats the smallest margin between all 3 parties in a 3CP count. The LIB/ALP 2PP here will be Labors best since before Caulfield was in the seat and the Lib PV may be the lowest in 5-6 decades. Labor appeared to have picked up primary votes in both Brisbane and Macnamara just the greens picked up more, so not all negative for them Interestingly the preferences for non-green/lib/labor voters in those seats (mainly right-wing UAP,ON, LDP and smaller left-wing AJP) were split around 50% lib, 35% green and 15% alp so assume more UAP/ON/LDP voters preferenced greens over labor. Wills ( ALP 8.5% v GRN) is the seat for former Labor Prime Minister Bob Hawke and runs north-west between Merri Creek and Moonee Ponds Creek from inner-city Brunswick to the Western Ring Road. Subscribe today. Labor would have still won since they still hold Albert Park by a 11% margin compared to the Libs 2% margin in Caufield though there was a 2% swing to the Libs in both seats against expectations the Lib vote would further collapse in that area like in the federal election. Regional Victorian ports - follow this link . Labor won a large 70.2% majority of the two-party-preferred vote in St Kilda, 55% in Caulfield and 57.5% in Port Melbourne. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. Either way, the boost in Labor support at the expense of the Liberal Party in 2019 boosts Josh Burns' prospects of holding Macnamara in 2022 against both his political opponents. Bandt describes himself as a book nerd and live music fan and at the time of his election was completing a PhD in Law and Politics at Monash University. Because Antony Green knows way more (if it is true that he was going to call it). The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. Stephen Mayne was the moderator. In Labor's inner-northern seats, the Liberal first preference vote hovers around 25% and Green prospects swing on Liberal preferences. The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. So let's figure it out. Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. Since 1989 he's run his own business, which in 2016 gained a Multicultural Impact Award. ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. Daniel, the biggest problem for Labor at the moment is that their margin vs Liberals on how the current votes are breaking is smaller than the advantage the Liberals are getting over Labor on minor preferences. Bandt worked as an industrial and public interest lawyer for the decade before his election to Parliament in 2010. The first preference vote graph is reflected in many inner-Melbourne electorate, with a rise in Green support mirrored by a decline in Labor first preference vote. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, was held on Tuesday, 16th April in the Community Facility at South Melbourne Primary School, 129 Ferrars St, Southbank. Thats extraordinary, quite possibly the closest 3 way 3CP count ever, and I think a full 3CP recount if its that close is a very likely possibility. This must be a record for having the biggest difference between the primary vote and 2PP vote. This information is updated hourly. Three candidates will be running for two available seats on the Melbourne Beach Town Commission in the Nov. 8 election. Melbourne Ports was won in 1906 by Labor candidates James Mathews. This was looking like a near-certain Labor retain but every batch of votes that has come in has been breaking exactly the way it needs to for the Greens to win, so basically they just need that to continue through the last 6000+ votes to win the seat, while Labor need the final 6000+ to be sufficiently weaker for *either* the Greens or Liberals for them to retain it. (Click on polling place for results). William Bowe explains in his latest blog (from after yesterdays counting finished) that his results system is incorrectly calling it due to its inability to think in three-party terms. But Melbourne differs from other electorates in two ways. That is a real possibility if they do well. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. The logical approach to me at face value would be to consolidate the 4 Labor seats of Chisholm, Hotham, Isaacs and Bruce into 3, but Im sure they wont want to do that. She went on to study education, undergraduate and post graduate studies at Institute of Catholic Education, and then completed a masters degree in education at Monash University. However, the problem they might face in that redistribution scenario is that removing the Liberals best area (Caulfield) would almost certainly drop the Libs to third place and make it an ALP v Greens count where theyd probably have a 5% margin to make up rather than a ~200 vote margin to get into a LIB v GRN count. Infrastructure needs: Invest in, maintain and improve our infrastructure, while being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact. If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. William Bowe actually says he thinks its trending Greens. Supporting the mayor's momentum of accountability by voting with the mayor for regular financial audits of city finances. shipping.melbourne@gac.com, Tel: +61 3 8645 6900Email: The other three members of the City Council Mayor Hal Rose, and Councilors Pat Bentley, Daniel McDow and Stephen Phrampus have terms that run until 2024. Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but its unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. 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